Model: Solar Functional Energy Cycle of Business
The recent recession of 2008 that engulfed so many economies in the world is gradually moving toward depression in some countries. Japan is already moving towards long contraction. There is doubt in everyone's mind whether an economist or a common man about 'How long will this recession last and which countries are going to have severe impact'? This question will be answered by the 'Kantian Energy Cycle C/T-A-R. Kantian Energy cycle is determined by the solar functional energy 'C', which is a derivative of solar rays transformed by T-A-R energy components.
'Solar functional Energy' and its principal components 'T-A-R' will be able to analyze and explain these downward trends of the past and that is present today. They can be used to predict the forthcoming economic trends in the future. You will surprise to know that the basic structure of T-A-R components present today in 2008 and the following strategic years is very much like the TAR structure present in 1873 and 1929. 1929 structure of T-A-R is closer to that of 2008. The intensity of T-A-R is likely to be wilder in later parts of 2009 onward to create as much worse an economic downturn as that was in 1929 great depression. But this time the focal point is more towards the Japanese economy than USA.
In Japan the asset price bubbles had last started in1986 and lasted till 1990 when the bubble had burst. The economy of Japan remained in long drawn depression till 2002/03 when the stocks and asset prices bottomed out. It is virtually from this period only asset prices in many countries took an aggressive upward move.
How do T-A-R basics and solar functional Energy analyze and explain the price and market movement is given below but for this you have to briefly understand about this Solar energy profile and TAR network.
T-A-R is a composite energy module having electrical components of positive charges ('A') referred to as Proton and negative charges('T') referred to as Electron that transform sunrays on the way to earth into electrical energy. After the conversion sunrays becomes source of 'solar functional energy' termed as 'C' that establishes a functional relationship with earth and its resources to turn these into economic produce or wealth by taking human help through activating the brain software in human beings. You may not agree to or may dispute this theory but a patient glance and analytical watch on the following case studies will surprise you to accept this. The only condition is to shed any preconception and ego.
The biggest operational constraint faced by this Solar Functional Energy is the presence of dark energy 'R' that is potent enough to corrupt its functionality at the right level. Whenever 'R' intercepts the focus of solar functional energy or its components 'T' or 'A' on earth it makes it/ them non-functional or weakly functional. 'T' and 'A' move clockwise and focus earth. 'R' intercepts them by moving anticlockwise. They do this in a way to converge and diverge at certain intervals and thereby create cyclical energy contents and capsules of various potencies that ultimately affects the economies and their operational levels.
The most potent T-A-R positioning is when 'T' and 'A' are converging to and 'R' is just diverging as in 1922 when the American stock market went on rampaging till the great depression started or in 1960s when US economies boomed for years.
The weakest T-A-R positioning is when 'T' and 'R' are converging with focus on power points and 'A' is just diverging from their module. This has occurred in 1929 (the sample is furnished in the following paragraph)
The following charts will exhibit these permutation and combinations along with the solar divisions of earth in C1, C2, C3, C4, C5, C6, C7, C8.C9, C91 C92 and C93. Our earth is divides in 12 parts of 30 degree the base point being Greenwich at 00 East and West as follows:
Focus on Japan in 2008 on T-A-R scale
-----------------------------------------Japan(C5)
C9 - C91 - C92 - C93 - C1 - C2 - C3 - C4 - C5 - C6 - C7 - C8
A -- R.7 -- R ---------------------------------- T
------------------------------ T-3C ------- R ---- T+2C
Japan, the world's second biggest economy, has officially fallen into an economic recession. The nation's export business continues to crumble against the rising Yen and the Japanese economy is set for its longest ever contraction. Focus of 'T' on C5 the economic zone of Japan and the power point always makes this country vulnerable and let yen appreciate against dollar and other currencies. This is repeated in the year 2007 when 'T' had its first focus on C5 in August. R92 also had its focus on C5 along with. Both together had their negative focus on C2 in the month of May-June. This joint focus on C2 did not damage the economies that should have if A8 would not have the simultaneous focus on C2. In 2008 when A8 had its focus shifted to C9 T+6R module became aggressive and at R+C in March 2008 it had it had its first impact on many economy and its spiraling prices. Gold and crude oil prices had relented for the first time. From July-August the crisis set firmly.
The island's Gross Domestic Product - the entire value of one nation's products and services - made an unexpected drop of 0.5 in the quarter July-September. There was downfall in the first quarter from April-June. A recession is defined by two successive quarterly GDP drops for a nation or continent. On annualized basis it was 1.8% shrink. Japan's export dependent economy was also hit by sluggish overseas shipments as the global financial crisis hit international trade. The latest snapshot of the Japanese economy was even worse than the forecast for a contraction of about 0.2% quarter on quarter made earlier by some analysts. The government said the economy shrank a revised 1.0% in the second quarter, which was also slightly worse than it was thought previously. Many companies have started undercutting employments. Sony corp. is about to cut 8000 of jobs. Signs of the nation's economic decline can be seen in Sony's profit outlook cut of 57%, and in the Japanese software market to have 21 percent drop from last year. Perhaps the biggest danger for Japan's videogame market was the news that the nation saw its volume of business investments drop 1.7 percent from the previous quarter.
The nation now joins a growing list of major countries that have posted successive GDP losses, such as Germany, Italy, Spain and Ireland. A report last week suggested that USA is likely to officially enter a recession soon.
USA will be facing worst type of deflationary situation. Many other economies will also be running similar situation. R9 that is also the power point of USA will have the focus of 'R' in 2010 will again erupt the worsening situation for USA. T-A-R structure in 2008-2016 is presented below for a deep study and analysis.
TAR components in 2007 and 2008 as shown below is T5 (Japan) R92 focusing on Japan with R+180 degree focus. This module is called T+6R that have the capacity to cause severe downfall in Japan not for single year but for years together. This module got activated in February-March 2008 and its long term impact is to relax only in 2016 when Japan economic zone is to get a joint focus of R+A. This is the first phase of the depression for Japan.
The focus of 'T' on C5 in 2007 and 2008 is damaging for Japan. T+6R formed by T5 and R92 are a negative module to restrict growth in Japan. 'A' is not in the module of T+6R and this is moving away from 'T' that provides the electron charges to the proton 'A' to make it productive for economic development and growth. This divergence further aggravates the situation to take this country to the quagmire of depression for long.
K.M PANDIT is an honors graduate in economics and possesses a certificate in marketing management. He remained engaged as professional managers in reputed organizations for about 25 years. He also took up job of academic writing in Research-Academia USA in which he helped students in writing their project works in Economics and marketing management.
His interest in business cycle was aroused in 1996 when he witnessed many ups and downs in global economy especially in Japan. He became very serious about finding the reason for this. He studied the problems deeply and later opened 'Center of Business Intelligence & Forecasting in Kolkata to have professional study on the subject. His study encompasses stock market, commodity market metal markets including gold and silver to learn the system in trends. This book will be centric to gold to highlight the fundamental theory of Solar Functional Energy and TAR econometrics to answer about the most intricate question of why and how the cycle of growth and decline starts. He became member of Kitco gold forum to contribute his forecasts about gold market trends. He contributed his basic theory to his blog to let people and investors know about the new theory of forecasting. There was massive flow of comments on his writings with reservations and doubts but when his forecasts came true letters of appreciation followed. He published his first e book on 'Solar Functional Energy' He plans his next book on full theory on ' Kantian Energy Cycle of Business' that can answer all the pertinent and mind boggling problems of business cycles.
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